The upcoming monsoon season in 2025 is anticipated to be nothing short of remarkable for Delhi and a large part of Northwest India. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) forecasts that the capital is on the verge of experiencing possibly one of its earliest with ‘one of the most’ vigorous monsoon onsets in over ten years. Given predictions about heavy rainfall, imminent thunderstorms, and a major change in weather conditions, both the residents of Delhi and workers across various sectors are monitoring IMD updates.
Earliest Monsoon Onset in Years
The southwest monsoon usually reaches Delhi by June 30, but IMD has predicted it could arrive as early as June 24 this year, which would make it the earliest onset since 2013, when the city saw monsoon rains around June 16. One reason behind the earlier arrival date forecasted is because the closer advanced regions like Chandigarh, Punjab, Rajasthan, and Haryana are already witnessing positive weather patterns. In fact, earlier today I received an SMS alert from IMD for a yellow alert issued for rain in field thunderstorms, which stated, “For rain, THUNDERSTORM ARRI MONKEY.”
Rainfall Records and Surpassing Norms
The city of Delhi has been experiencing above-average rainfall for the month of June. As of now, Delhi has recorded an average rainfall of 89 mm, which is more than double the expected 43.3 mm. Looking at weather patterns from last year, we have already experienced a staggering amount of rainfall in the month of June, with a total of 243.4 mm versus the expected 74.1 mm. One day alone contributed so much to this number, where over 228 mm fell at Safdarjung station on the 28th of June in 2024. With IMD announcing more rain along with thunderstorms, it seems likely for us to break our all-time record in rainfall set years ago.
IMD’s Forecast Out of June 25th—Heavy to Very Heavy Rainfall for Northwest Region
According to the recent press release and forecast documents published by IMD, there is an increase in rainfall activity over the northwest region, including Delhi, from June 25th onwards. The rain category ranges from heavy to very heavy rainfall, with isolated pockets likely to receive extremely heavy falls. There is a more extensive national pattern that follows this surge, as all of NW India is also expected to get copious monsoon showers during Season 2025, 106% against LPA to be precise (for long-period average). It can be expected that these conditions will lead to substantial cooling increases wherein maximum temperatures will remain lower than usual and avert heat waves altogether.
Relief and Challenges: Implications for Delhi
The onset of early monsoon brings both relief and challenges for the people of Delhi. The onset of the first phase of rain is likely to bring severe heat, which can cause immense damage to crops. As forecasted by IMD, a yellow alert has been placed, warning that damages are highly possible in town due to rain bursts. Given forecasted conditions, it will also be difficult to manage transportation due to congestion in roadways. From an agricultural perspective, timely kharif sowing will help ISI sow nourishment in water.
Final Statement
Despite such dire forecasts for occurrences post the torrential rainfall period, it will still be very beneficial for sustaining other natural bodies and controlling temperature rise overall for Delhi Ji mutants post-Diwali period. This would help alleviate traffic along with making daily life much easier across northern states like UP and Himachal, as the military’s primary skier blows harakiri during summers. fully pack their bags for winters
